Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001876 0.001993 0.002115 0.002250 0.002396 0.002550 0.002725
2025-04-06 0.001680 0.001842 0.002016 0.002218 0.002448 0.002700 0.003000
2025-04-13 0.001535 0.001723 0.001931 0.002181 0.002473 0.002807 0.003221
2025-04-20 0.001397 0.001597 0.001823 0.002101 0.002436 0.002830 0.003334
2025-04-27 0.001339 0.001555 0.001806 0.002123 0.002513 0.002986 0.003608
2025-05-04 0.001303 0.001536 0.001813 0.002168 0.002618 0.003177 0.003935
2025-05-11 0.001281 0.001532 0.001835 0.002232 0.002747 0.003402 0.004317
2025-05-18 0.001241 0.001502 0.001822 0.002250 0.002815 0.003550 0.004604
2025-05-25 0.001179 0.001441 0.001767 0.002207 0.002800 0.003586 0.004737
2025-06-01 0.001132 0.001396 0.001729 0.002185 0.002810 0.003653 0.004915
2025-06-08 0.001104 0.001375 0.001720 0.002201 0.002869 0.003790 0.005199
2025-06-15 0.001063 0.001335 0.001685 0.002178 0.002875 0.003850 0.005372
2025-06-22 0.001025 0.001299 0.001657 0.002169 0.002905 0.003956 0.005638
2025-06-29 0.000980 0.001253 0.001614 0.002138 0.002902 0.004014 0.005835
2025-07-06 0.000937 0.001208 0.001570 0.002101 0.002889 0.004056 0.006008
2025-07-13 0.000884 0.001146 0.001500 0.002026 0.002813 0.003996 0.006011
2025-07-20 0.000866 0.001133 0.001497 0.002046 0.002882 0.004163 0.006401
2025-07-27 0.000857 0.001132 0.001510 0.002089 0.002987 0.004394 0.006917
2025-08-03 0.000854 0.001138 0.001534 0.002150 0.003123 0.004681 0.007557
2025-08-10 0.000837 0.001125 0.001530 0.002167 0.003189 0.004857 0.008012
2025-08-17 0.000806 0.001088 0.001490 0.002127 0.003160 0.004871 0.008167
2025-08-24 0.000781 0.001061 0.001463 0.002106 0.003162 0.004936 0.008423
2025-08-31 0.000768 0.001050 0.001459 0.002120 0.003223 0.005107 0.008899